The Influence of Boycott Threats on Abnormal Returns and Trading Volume: Evidence from the Israel-Palestine Conflict
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.38035/dijemss.v6i2.3679Keywords:
Boycott, Abnormal Return, Trading Volume ActivityAbstract
This study examines the impact of the October 7, 2023 escalation of the Israel-Palestine conflict on companies targeted by boycott threats due to their alleged ties to Israel. Using abnormal returns (AR) and trading volume activity (TVA) as key indicators of stock performance, the research analyzes changes across 5-day, 30-day, and 120-day event windows. An event study methodology is applied to assess shifts in these indicators before and after the boycott threat. The results show a significant difference in TVA in the 5-day and 30-day event windows, indicating notable changes in trading behavior following the boycott. However, significant differences in abnormal returns were observed only in the 5-day window, with no significant changes in the 30-day and 120-day windows. Similarly, no significant difference in TVA was found in the 120-day event window, suggesting that the effects of the boycott diminished over time. These findings suggest that while the boycott influenced trading volume in the short term, its impact on stock prices, as measured by abnormal returns, was brief and faded over time.
References
Ahsyam, F., Syaharana, S., Alfira, M., Suraya, A., & Muchran, M. (2024). The Impact Of The Pro-Israel Product Boycott On Stock Prices Companies Registered On Bei. In International Social Sciences and Humanities UMJember Proceeding Series (Vol. 3, Issue 1). http://proceeding.unmuhjember.ac.id/index.php/issh
Avianuari, F., & Dhani Hendranastiti, N. (2024). MARKET REACTIONS TO BOYCOTT ANNOUNCEMENTS: ANALYZING THE IMPACT ON TARGETED COMPANIES IN INDONESIA. 4(10).
Awaludin, A. A., Al-Khaidar, M. A., & Ratnasari, R. T. (2023). Opinion Leaders and Product Boycott Intentions: Factors Influencing Consumer Behavior in Support of Israel Boycott. Journal of Digital Marketing and Halal Industry, 5(2), 243–264. https://doi.org/10.21580/jdmhi.2023.5.2.20166
Brown, S. J., & Warner, J. B. (1985). Using daily stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 14(1), 3–31. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(85)90042-X
Capelle-Blancard, G., & Couderc, N. (2009). The Impact of Socially Responsible Investing: Evidence from Stock Index Redefinitions. The Journal of Investing, 18(2), 76–86. https://doi.org/10.3905/JOI.2009.18.2.076
Chengying, H., Rui, C., & Ying, L. (2022). US-China trade war and China’s stock market: an event-driven analysis. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 35(1), 3277–3290. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2021.1990781
Delcey, T. (2017). Efficient Market Hypothesis, Eugene Fama and Paul Samuelson: A reevaluation. https://hal.science/hal-01618347v1
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383. https://doi.org/10.2307/2325486
Friedman, M. (1991). Consumer Boycotts: A Conceptual Framework and Research Agenda. Journal of Social Issues, 47(1), 149–168. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-4560.1991.tb01817.x
He, Z. (2023). Geopolitical risks and investor sentiment: Causality and TVP-VAR analysis. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 67, 101947. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2023.101947
Heilmann, K. (2016). Does political conflict hurt trade? Evidence from consumer boycotts. Journal of International Economics, 99, 179–191. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2015.11.008
Levesque, A., & Nam, J. (2019). DigitalCommons@Pace The Effect of Consumer Boycotting on the Stock Market. https://digitalcommons.pace.edu/honorscollege_theses
Lo, A. W. (2004). The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis: Market Efficiency from an Evolutionary Perspective. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/228183756
Luo, X. (2008). When Marketing Strategy First Meets Wall Street: Marketing Spendings and Firms’ Initial Public Offerings. Journal of Marketing, 72(5), 98–109. https://doi.org/10.1509/jmkg.72.5.098
Luo, X., & Bhattacharya, C. B. (2006). Corporate Social Responsibility, Customer Satisfaction, and Market Value. Journal of Marketing, 70(4), 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1509/jmkg.70.4.001
Ma, Y., Wei, Q., & Gao, X. (2024). The Impact of Political Risks on Financial Markets: Evidence from a Stock Price Crash Perspective. International Journal of Financial Studies, 12(2), 51. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs12020051
MacKinlay, A. C. (1997). Event Studies in Economics and Finance. Journal of Economic Literature, 35(1), 13–39. http://www.jstor.org/stable/2729691
Nair, P. U., & Thankamony, P. (2021). Social Issues in Supply Chain Sustainability – Focus Areas for Energy and Manufacturing sectors in India and USA. European Journal of Sustainable Development, 10(1), 495. https://doi.org/10.14207/ejsd.2021.v10n1p495
Pruitt, S. W., & Friedman, M. (1986). Determining the effectiveness of consumer boycotts: A stock price analysis of their impact on corporate targets. Journal of Consumer Policy, 9(4), 375–387. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00380573
SCHWERT, G. W. (1989). Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time? The Journal of Finance, 44(5), 1115–1153. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1989.tb02647.x
Spence, M. (1973). Job Market Signaling. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 87(3), 355. https://doi.org/10.2307/1882010
.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Fanny Avianuari, Nur Dhani Hendranastiti

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish their manuscripts in this journal agree to the following conditions:
- The copyright on each article belongs to the author(s).
- The author acknowledges that the Dinasti International Journal of Education Management and Social Science (DIJEMSS) has the right to be the first to publish with a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license (Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).
- Authors can submit articles separately, arrange for the non-exclusive distribution of manuscripts that have been published in this journal into other versions (e.g., sent to the author's institutional repository, publication into books, etc.), by acknowledging that the manuscript has been published for the first time in the Dinasti International Journal of Education Management and Social Science (DIJEMSS).