The Relationship Between Smoking and Poverty in Indonesia

Authors

  • Rasyidusman Hannamara Furqan Nur Politeknik Negeri Lhokseumawe, Aceh, Indonesia.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.38035/dijefa.v7i1.6294

Keywords:

Cigarette Expenditure, Poverty, Kretek Cigarettes, Tobacco

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the relationship between per capita cigarette expenditure and poverty levels in Indonesia based on the type of cigarette consumption. The method used is panel data analysis with the Common Effect Model (CEM) approach using data from 33 provinces during the 2019–2024 period sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS). The dependent variable in this study is the poverty rate, while the independent variables include expenditure on cigarettes and tobacco (X₁), filtered kretek cigarettes (X₂), unfiltered kretek cigarettes (X₃), white cigarettes (X₄), tobacco (X₅), and other cigarettes and tobacco (X₆). The results show that simultaneously, all independent variables have a significant effect on poverty. Partially, unfiltered kretek cigarettes (X₃) have a positive and significant effect, indicating that increased consumption of this type worsens poverty conditions. Meanwhile, white cigarettes (X₄), tobacco (X₅), and other cigarettes and tobacco (X₆) have a negative and significant effect, indicating that these types are consumed more by people with high purchasing power. In general, cheap cigarettes consumed by low-income groups are a factor that exacerbates poverty.

References

Aditya, T., Yuniarti, D., & Abdulkarim, F. M. (2025). Smoking and poverty: Empirical study of districts and cities in Indonesia. JAMPE (Journal of Asset Management and Public Economy), 4(1), 46–64.

Ahsan, A., Wiyono, N. H., Veruswati, M., Adani, N., Kusuma, D., & Amalia, N. (2020). Comparison of tobacco import and tobacco control in five countries: Lessons learned for Indonesia. Globalization and Health, 16(1), 65. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12992-020-00594-8

Atlas, T. (2018). Country profile: Indonesia. Tobacco Atlas.

https://tobaccoatlas.org/wp-content/uploads/pdf/Indonesia-Country-Facts.pdf

CRIFASIA. (2024). The tobacco processing industry in Indonesia: Growth dynamics and the impact of Government Regulation No. 28/2024.

https://www.id.crifasia.com/resources/industry-insights/the-tobacco-processing-industry-in-indonesia-growth-dynamics-and-the-impact-of-government-regulation-no-28-2024/

Darden, M. E., Hebert, R. B., Pesko, M. F., & Sturm, S. (2025). Cigarette taxes and the household budget. National Bureau of Economic Research. https://www.nber.org

Drope, J., & Hamill, S. (Eds.). (2025). Country profile: Indonesia. In The tobacco atlas. Vital Strategies & Economics for Health. https://tobaccoatlas.org/country/indonesia/

Florenta, S., Wahyudi, A. B., & Sabardila, A. (2022). Representation of masculinity in advertising text on YouTube as teaching material for Indonesian class VIII. In Proceedings of the International Conference on Learning on Advanced Education (ICOLAE 2021) (pp. 446–453). Atlantis Press.

https://doi.org/10.2991/assehr.k.220108.081

Gan, H., Hou, X., Zhu, Z., Xue, M., Zhang, T., Huang, Z., Cheng, Z. J., & Sun, B. (2022). Smoking: A leading factor for the death of chronic respiratory diseases derived from Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. BMC Pulmonary Medicine, 22(1), 149. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12890-022-01937-8

Holipah, H., Sulistomo, H. W., & Maharani, A. (2020). Tobacco smoking and risk of all-cause mortality in Indonesia. PLOS ONE, 15(12), e0242558. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0242558

Jin, H. J., & Cho, S. M. (2021). Effects of cigarette price increase on fresh food expenditures of low-income South Korean households that spend relatively more on cigarettes. Health Policy, 125(1), 75–82. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.healthpol.2020.10.010

Lal, A., Mohebi, M., White, S. L., Scollo, M., & McCaffrey, N. (2022). Household expenditure of smokers and ex-smokers across socioeconomic groups: Results from a large nationwide Australian longitudinal survey. BMC Public Health, 22(1), 1706. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-022-14145-6

Lichner, I., & Ostrihoň, F. (2025). Estimation of own-price and expenditure elasticities of cigarette demand by income groups (Tobacconomics Working Paper). Tobacconomics.

https://tobacconomics.org

Lubis, A., Ahmad, M. R. B., Wibowo, M. G., & Zahra, A. N. (2022). The impact of smoking on poverty: Evidence from Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan, 19(2), 243–256. https://doi.org/10.23917/jep.v19i2.18745

Ma, S., Yang, Q., Ahn, S., Park, H., He, Y., Bridges, J. F. P., & Shang, C. (2025). Cost comparison and spending on tobacco products: Evidence from a nationally representative sample of adult e-cigarette users. Nicotine & Tobacco Research, 27(8), 1367–1375. https://doi.org/10.1093/ntr/ntad191

Melinda, G., Kamilah, F. Z., & Amalia, B. (2025). The path to excise tax reform: Ending preferential treatment for hand-rolled kretek cigarettes. Center for Indonesia’s Strategic Development Initiatives (CISDI).

Nasrudin, R., Trialdi, L., Hartono, D., & Ahsan, A. (2013). Tobacco economics of Indonesia: Poor households’ spending pattern, tax regressivity and economy-wide impact of tax simplification (Working Paper). Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia.

Nkomo, N. Y., & Adanlawo, E. F. (2025). The relationship between smoking and household expenditure: A quantile regressions analysis. E-Journal of Humanities, Arts and Social Sciences, 6(2), 136–146.

Nurhayati, Hanadian, & Wolff, P. (2024). The tobacco industry in Indonesia: Statistics and facts. Statista. https://www.statista.com/topics/5728/tobacco-industry-in-indonesia/

PKJS-UI, CISDI, & Kementerian Kesehatan Republik Indonesia. (2021). Towards the optimization of tobacco consumption control in Indonesia (pp. 1–22). Universitas Indonesia.

Pramita, S. D., & Khoirunurrofik, K. (2025). The relationship between cigarette consumption and poverty: Analysing the role of price. Ekomabis Review: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Bisnis, 13(2), 1563–1578. https://doi.org/10.37676/ekombis.v13i2.4092

Swarnata, A., Kamilah, F. Z., Melinda, G., & Adrison, V. (2024). The impoverishing effect of tobacco use in Indonesia. Nicotine & Tobacco Research, 26(10), 1331–1338. https://doi.org/10.1093/ntr/ntae040

Welker, M. (2024). Kretek capitalism: Making, marketing, and consuming clove cigarettes in Indonesia. University of California Press.

Yurekli, A., Nargis, N., Goodchild, M., Visaruthvong, C., Delipalla, S., Blecher, E., Perucic, A.-M., Hu, T.-W., Lee, A., & Chaloupka, F. (2016). Economics of tobacco control and health. In World scientific handbook of global health economics and public policy (Vol. 2, pp. 191–283). World Scientific. https://doi.org/10.1142/9789813140493_0007

Published

2026-03-09

How to Cite

Nur, R. H. F. (2026). The Relationship Between Smoking and Poverty in Indonesia. Dinasti International Journal of Economics, Finance & Accounting, 7(1), 178–190. https://doi.org/10.38035/dijefa.v7i1.6294

Similar Articles

1 2 3 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.