Capital Market Reaction to Free Nutritious Food Policy: A Case Study of Palm Oil Companies on Indonesia Stock Exchange

Authors

  • Jihan Eka Putri Universitas Tadulako‎, Palu, Indonesia.
  • Muhammad Nofal Universitas Tadulako‎, Palu, Indonesia.
  • Husnah Husnah Universitas Tadulako‎, Palu, Indonesia.
  • Rian Risendy Universitas Tadulako‎, Palu, Indonesia.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.38035/dijefa.v6i5.5142

Keywords:

Free nutritious meals, event study, abnormal return, palm oil company

Abstract

The Free Nutritious Meal Policy, targeted at school students, toddlers, and pregnant women, is implemented as an effort to reduce stunting and produce high-quality human resources. The reaction of investors in the capital market to this program remains unknown, even though the program directly increases the volume of food that will be consumed, such as palm cooking oil. Therefore, this research aims to test whether investors react to the MBG program by analyzing the abnormal returns of palm oil company stocks that are expected to receive direct positive impacts from the program. To this end, we examine this market reaction by conducting an event study based on the market model. The analysis utilizes return data from 24 palm oil company stocks listed on the BEI. We found that positive and significant abnormal returns occurred a few days before and after the event date, indicating an investor reaction to the MBG program. The variable abnormal returns suggest that the market reaction tends to be slow and spreads gradually and indirectly. The inconsistency in significant patterns indicates that market information is still developing, while also reflecting investors' cautious attitude toward government policies with broad impacts.

References

Adamska, A., & Dąbrowski, T. J. (2021). Investor reactions to sustainability index reconstitutions: Analysis in different institutional contexts. Journal of Cleaner Production, 297, 126715. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.126715

Alam, Md. M., Wei, H., & Wahid, A. N. M. (2021). COVID-19 outbreak and sectoral performance of the Australian stock market: An event study analysis. Australian Economic Papers, 60(3), 482–495. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8454.12215

Amir, M. A. , & Indriani, A. ‎. (2020). Analisis Pengaruh Nilai Sukuk, Leverage, Likuiditas dan ‎Ukuran Perusahaan Terhadap Reaksi ‎Pasar (Studi Kasus Pada Perusahaan Konvensional ‎non-bank yang Menerbitkan Sukuk di ‎Indonesia Periode 2014-2019‎. Diponegoro Journal ‎of Management‎, 9(4), 1–13.

Ashraf, B. N. (2020). Economic impact of government interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic: International evidence from financial markets. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 27, 100371. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100371

Chu, X., Deng, Y., & Tsang, D. (2025). Firm Leverage and Stock Price Crash Risk: The Chinese Real Estate Market and Three-Red-Lines Policy. The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 70(3), 544–582. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11146-023-09953-0

Fama, E. F., Fisher, L., Jensen, M. C., & Roll, R. (1969). The Adjustment of Stock Prices to New Information. International Economic Review, 10(1), 1. https://doi.org/10.2307/2525569

Heyden, K. J., & Heyden, T. (2021). Market reactions to the arrival and containment of COVID-19: An event study. Finance Research Letters, 38, 101745. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101745

Huang, S. X., Kim, M., Rykaczewski, M., & Vulcheva, M. (2025). Regulation takes a back seat to business concerns: international evidence from stock exchange demutualization. Review of Accounting Studies, 30(2), 1916–1967. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11142-024-09863-3

Hunjra, A. I., Kijkasiwat, P., Arunachalam, M., & Hammami, H. (2021). Covid-19 health policy intervention and volatility of Asian capital markets. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 169, 120840. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120840

Husnah, H., Nurdin, D., & Kasim, M. Y. (2023). Informativeness of environmental, social and governance (ESG) data on investment decisions: The mediating role purpose of investment. International Journal of Data and Network Science, 7(4), 1991–2000. https://doi.org/10.5267/j.ijdns.2023.6.013

Kiroyan, T. C. S., Mangantar, M., & Sumarauw, J. S. B. (2022). Analisis Reaksi Pasar Modal Pada Perusahaan CPO Sub Sektor Perkebunan yang Terdaftar di Bursa ‎Efek Indonesia Sebelum dan Sesudah Larangan Ekspor Minyak Goreng dan Bahan Baku di ‎Indonesia. Jurnal EMBA, 10(4).

Mazur, M., Dang, M., & Vega, M. (2021). COVID-19 and the march 2020 stock market crash. Evidence from S&P1500. Finance Research Letters, 38, 101690. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101690

Nnakee, U. N., Ngong, C. A., Onyejiaku, C. C., Moguluwa, S., & Onwumere, J. U. J. (2025). Examining the long-run relationship between stock market development and Nigerian economic growth. Journal of Financial Economic Policy, 17(1), 113–131. https://doi.org/10.1108/JFEP-01-2024-0020

Pandey, D. K., & Kumari, V. (2021). Event study on the reaction of the developed and emerging stock markets to the 2019-nCoV outbreak. International Review of Economics & Finance, 71, 467–483. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2020.09.014

Ricks, W. E. (1984). Discussion of a Comparison of Event Study Methodologies Using Daily Stock Returns: A Simulation Approach. Journal of Accounting Research, 22, 31. https://doi.org/10.2307/2490856

Saleh, F. M., Furqan, A. C., Fontanella, A., & Prasetyo, E. (2021). Effects of privatization and corporate governance on accounting conservatism in state‐owned enterprises. Journal of Public Affairs, 21(3). https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.2671

Suparman, S., & Muzakir, M. (2023). Regional inequality, human capital, unemployment, and economic growth in Indonesia: Panel regression approach. Cogent Economics & Finance, 11(2). https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2023.2251803

Tinungki, G. M., Hartono, P. G., Frensidy, B., Sunusi, N., Robiyanto, R., & Dorkas Rambu Atahau, A. (2025). Revisiting dividend policy in Indonesian green investment firms and associated market reaction: an in-depth analysis over crises period. Cogent Business & Management, 12(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2025.2467229

Totanan, C., Gihna Mayapada, A., Yusnita Yamin, N., Made Suwitri Parwati, N., & Indriasari, R. (2021). The effect of patronage buying motives on small business profitability: evidence from Indonesia. Innovative Marketing, 17(1), 109–119. https://doi.org/10.21511/im.17(1).2021.09

Woolridge, J. R., & Snow, C. C. (1990). Stock market reaction to strategic investment decisions. Strategic Management Journal, 11(5), 353–363. https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.4250110503

Kasim, M. Y., Muslimin, & Dwijaya, I. K. B. (2022). Market reaction to the Covid-19 pandemic: Events study at stocks listed on LQ45 index. Cogent Business & Management, 9(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2021.2024979

Published

2025-10-11

How to Cite

Putri, J. E., Nofal, M., Husnah, H., & Risendy, R. (2025). Capital Market Reaction to Free Nutritious Food Policy: A Case Study of Palm Oil Companies on Indonesia Stock Exchange. Dinasti International Journal of Economics, Finance & Accounting, 6(5), 3952–3962. https://doi.org/10.38035/dijefa.v6i5.5142

Similar Articles

<< < 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.