Capital Market Reaction to Free Nutritious Food Policy: A Case Study of Palm Oil Companies on Indonesia Stock Exchange
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.38035/dijefa.v6i5.5142Keywords:
Free nutritious meals, event study, abnormal return, palm oil companyAbstract
The Free Nutritious Meal Policy, targeted at school students, toddlers, and pregnant women, is implemented as an effort to reduce stunting and produce high-quality human resources. The reaction of investors in the capital market to this program remains unknown, even though the program directly increases the volume of food that will be consumed, such as palm cooking oil. Therefore, this research aims to test whether investors react to the MBG program by analyzing the abnormal returns of palm oil company stocks that are expected to receive direct positive impacts from the program. To this end, we examine this market reaction by conducting an event study based on the market model. The analysis utilizes return data from 24 palm oil company stocks listed on the BEI. We found that positive and significant abnormal returns occurred a few days before and after the event date, indicating an investor reaction to the MBG program. The variable abnormal returns suggest that the market reaction tends to be slow and spreads gradually and indirectly. The inconsistency in significant patterns indicates that market information is still developing, while also reflecting investors' cautious attitude toward government policies with broad impacts.
References
Adamska, A., & Dąbrowski, T. J. (2021). Investor reactions to sustainability index reconstitutions: Analysis in different institutional contexts. Journal of Cleaner Production, 297, 126715. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.126715
Alam, Md. M., Wei, H., & Wahid, A. N. M. (2021). COVID-19 outbreak and sectoral performance of the Australian stock market: An event study analysis. Australian Economic Papers, 60(3), 482–495. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8454.12215
Amir, M. A. , & Indriani, A. . (2020). Analisis Pengaruh Nilai Sukuk, Leverage, Likuiditas dan Ukuran Perusahaan Terhadap Reaksi Pasar (Studi Kasus Pada Perusahaan Konvensional non-bank yang Menerbitkan Sukuk di Indonesia Periode 2014-2019. Diponegoro Journal of Management, 9(4), 1–13.
Ashraf, B. N. (2020). Economic impact of government interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic: International evidence from financial markets. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 27, 100371. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100371
Chu, X., Deng, Y., & Tsang, D. (2025). Firm Leverage and Stock Price Crash Risk: The Chinese Real Estate Market and Three-Red-Lines Policy. The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 70(3), 544–582. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11146-023-09953-0
Fama, E. F., Fisher, L., Jensen, M. C., & Roll, R. (1969). The Adjustment of Stock Prices to New Information. International Economic Review, 10(1), 1. https://doi.org/10.2307/2525569
Heyden, K. J., & Heyden, T. (2021). Market reactions to the arrival and containment of COVID-19: An event study. Finance Research Letters, 38, 101745. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101745
Huang, S. X., Kim, M., Rykaczewski, M., & Vulcheva, M. (2025). Regulation takes a back seat to business concerns: international evidence from stock exchange demutualization. Review of Accounting Studies, 30(2), 1916–1967. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11142-024-09863-3
Hunjra, A. I., Kijkasiwat, P., Arunachalam, M., & Hammami, H. (2021). Covid-19 health policy intervention and volatility of Asian capital markets. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 169, 120840. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120840
Husnah, H., Nurdin, D., & Kasim, M. Y. (2023). Informativeness of environmental, social and governance (ESG) data on investment decisions: The mediating role purpose of investment. International Journal of Data and Network Science, 7(4), 1991–2000. https://doi.org/10.5267/j.ijdns.2023.6.013
Kiroyan, T. C. S., Mangantar, M., & Sumarauw, J. S. B. (2022). Analisis Reaksi Pasar Modal Pada Perusahaan CPO Sub Sektor Perkebunan yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Sebelum dan Sesudah Larangan Ekspor Minyak Goreng dan Bahan Baku di Indonesia. Jurnal EMBA, 10(4).
Mazur, M., Dang, M., & Vega, M. (2021). COVID-19 and the march 2020 stock market crash. Evidence from S&P1500. Finance Research Letters, 38, 101690. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101690
Nnakee, U. N., Ngong, C. A., Onyejiaku, C. C., Moguluwa, S., & Onwumere, J. U. J. (2025). Examining the long-run relationship between stock market development and Nigerian economic growth. Journal of Financial Economic Policy, 17(1), 113–131. https://doi.org/10.1108/JFEP-01-2024-0020
Pandey, D. K., & Kumari, V. (2021). Event study on the reaction of the developed and emerging stock markets to the 2019-nCoV outbreak. International Review of Economics & Finance, 71, 467–483. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2020.09.014
Ricks, W. E. (1984). Discussion of a Comparison of Event Study Methodologies Using Daily Stock Returns: A Simulation Approach. Journal of Accounting Research, 22, 31. https://doi.org/10.2307/2490856
Saleh, F. M., Furqan, A. C., Fontanella, A., & Prasetyo, E. (2021). Effects of privatization and corporate governance on accounting conservatism in state‐owned enterprises. Journal of Public Affairs, 21(3). https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.2671
Suparman, S., & Muzakir, M. (2023). Regional inequality, human capital, unemployment, and economic growth in Indonesia: Panel regression approach. Cogent Economics & Finance, 11(2). https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2023.2251803
Tinungki, G. M., Hartono, P. G., Frensidy, B., Sunusi, N., Robiyanto, R., & Dorkas Rambu Atahau, A. (2025). Revisiting dividend policy in Indonesian green investment firms and associated market reaction: an in-depth analysis over crises period. Cogent Business & Management, 12(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2025.2467229
Totanan, C., Gihna Mayapada, A., Yusnita Yamin, N., Made Suwitri Parwati, N., & Indriasari, R. (2021). The effect of patronage buying motives on small business profitability: evidence from Indonesia. Innovative Marketing, 17(1), 109–119. https://doi.org/10.21511/im.17(1).2021.09
Woolridge, J. R., & Snow, C. C. (1990). Stock market reaction to strategic investment decisions. Strategic Management Journal, 11(5), 353–363. https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.4250110503
Kasim, M. Y., Muslimin, & Dwijaya, I. K. B. (2022). Market reaction to the Covid-19 pandemic: Events study at stocks listed on LQ45 index. Cogent Business & Management, 9(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2021.2024979
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Jihan Eka Putri, Muhammad Nofal, Husnah Husnah, Rian Risendy

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish their manuscripts in this journal agree to the following conditions:
- The copyright on each article belongs to the author(s).
- The author acknowledges that the Dinasti International Journal of Economics, Finance & Accounting (DIJEFA) has the right to be the first to publish with a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license (Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).
- Authors can submit articles separately, arrange for the non-exclusive distribution of manuscripts that have been published in this journal into other versions (e.g., sent to the author's institutional repository, publication into books, etc.), by acknowledging that the manuscript has been published for the first time in the Dinasti International Journal of Economics, Finance & Accounting (DIJEFA).










































